Season 33 Race Preview Sprint Championship 2yo Colts Final

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The big money sprint finals are finally here! We have a dozen 2 YO Colts/Geldings set to battle for 5F for the ultimate prize. The winner will get the lion’s share of 296,400Kc! It was a long journey for these 2 YOs to get the necessary points to make it into the big money finals. Amazing job by the connections to get to this point. Let’s take a closer look at the field.

 

#1 MARTIAL LAW ERA

Lightly raced juvy has been extremely impressive in limited sample size. Just two races to glance over and its obvious he has a nice stretch kick and nose for the wire. He’s faced winners first out earning a 98 speed fig, then repeated the same devastating closing kick against this group to earn a 99 speed fig to punch his ticket into the finals. One wonders if he’ll need the same 44.50 half to make his run, however early morning works suggest he has the ability to be more forwardly placed should his connections choose at this 5F trip. Strong contender if he fires anything close to his first two. My top choice.

#2 THE ROCK ERA

Started out strong winning his first two races, including a Champ Sprint Qualifier, but has seen that form muddied since the season progressed. His recent efforts near the lead have been poor, but he seems to have a decent enough closing kick when he’s allowed to relax to perhaps figure underneath. He’s been sporadically campaigned the past two months, and would likely need a race in this spot to be a factor.

#3 CHRYSTAL HAWK

Consistently hit the board against this group in an early campaign to qualify for tonight’s finals. While he achieved the runners up check in 3 of his 5 outs against this level he’s only beaten allowance foes to this point. The cutback to 5F and a troublesome 3 post to negotiate and its hard to envision a trip that yields a podium spot.

#4 LUCKY PROSPECTOR

Enters tonight off a dismal last place finish against first level allowance foes. While that race was poor to say the least, it was good that his connections found a nice 5F prep to enter after being away from the races nearly a month. His running style, although he’s won a 4F dash before would suggest more ground is needed. Aside from a rail run early on in qualifying he’s been beaten by open lengths in each of his next 5F starts. The lack of early speed types to his inside has me worried he’ll have trouble settling into stride and finding a decent spot.

#5 ORB, THIS ONE STAYS!

Was a nice 35Kc claim for his current outfit last month after he showed some talent early on running with this group for a minor placing. He’s taken a bit more time than others to mature, but has progressed well enough to win 3 straight albeit against softer foes. My biggest concern with him is tonight’s dirt surface, a surface he’s yet to win on in 4 outs, including a poor showing last out in a short field of 4. Ideally he probably wants to go a bit further, perhaps into the classic distances of 7-9F with his running style. Plenty of talent here, but his longterm future may be over the turf.

#6 JUDD’S XTRA HEAT

Has been a handy sort hitting the board in 9 of 12 starts this season including 5 wins. He’s successfully won from 4-7 panels this season, including winning the 4F Dash Conso last month. A tough ask for any horse especially a juvenile. His early success this season was done on the lead, wiring 4 straight fields against softer before taking the plunge into stakes and qualifier company. Amazingly, he has several foes to his inside that prefer to give ground early, so there may be a chance for him to make the front if he’s ridden aggressively again. Since the class hike, however, he’s had trouble being part of the early going and has seen his effectiveness become less consistent. He’s only managed a couple of distant thirds against this level, so we’ll need to see some improvement if he plans on getting a slice of tonight’s purse.

#7 CARELESS MOONRAKER

Pace a plenty with this colt, as he’s dashed off to mid 44 second half a few times already this season. This regally bred BlueChip Farms trainee has won 4 times out of 12 and banked just over 82Kc in his freshman campaign. All 4 of his career tallies have come at tonight’s 5F distance, a talent and experience edge he has over many of his opponents. As mentioned earlier, his high cruising speed is his best asset as he figures to be up on the early pace even from his wide draw. I’m a bit concerned about his dirt form (1-7) but there does seem to be a few excuses (4F Dashes) that i’m willing to throw out. Podium contender.

#8 TARYNSFINALPRESENT

He took till start number 6 to break his maiden this season, something uncharacteristic for a regally bred horse with two HOF, millionaire (dad likely joins mom in HOF soon) winning parents. I really like the race selection and path they chose for this horse, patiently allowing him to break his maiden against MSW foes, then a start against allowance foes in which he ran a close 2nd, missing by only a neck before facing qualifier foes. The light bulb must of went on as he defeated both Sprint and Classic qualifier foes in his next two starts. After seeing his form sour in the month of February, he’s gotten back on the beam with a win and a few minor placings last month. The concern with this horse is the short 5F journey tonight as his preferred running style (one run deep closer) is similar to most in this field. He fits on class and has a good dirt resume, but likely encounters traffic trouble given what little pace is signed on to his inside.

#9 THREE T’S ROCK

Another nicely bred colt here, enters tonight final off the strength of one 2nd place finish back in February against this group. He sat mid-pack that day and just missed the top prize by a long neck. He’s another that prefers to sit far off the early pace to make one run late, although in his most recent start he did wire a 1st level allowance group going 6F. The concern with him, as with most of his opponents is tonight’s short 5F distance and his preferred running style. He doesn’t have much of a resume against this group, but is entering this race in good form winning 2 of his last 3 races. His lone 5F try was a strong closing 3rd, but he likely needs to move forward off his last to place here.

#10 BEST COMBO

The 4th and final Foggydan Farms charge to qualify for tonight’s final, this one wasn’t as fortunate as his stablemates and received a much more difficult draw to break from however. The lightly raced homebred has been out only 4 times this season, getting a late start to the races debuting in late February. The precocious type, he won on debut closing impressively down the lane against this group to record a 98 speed figure for 6F. His subsequent starts against allowance foes he found more of a challenge, but he did manage 2 minor board placings in those 3 starts. It’s hard to gauge his class level off just 4 starts, but I think he fits well with this group. He set the pace by 3 lengths in his 2nd start in 44.68, something difficult to do much less at 7F. He’s making his dirt debut tonight, but given his works over the surface I think he should handle it just fine. Top contender with the right trip.

#11 SHAIRECOOKEDSOMEHASH

Been feast of famine for this runner of late, winning or running off the ticket completely in his last 4 outs. There’s no question who the fastest 5F horse in this field is, given his speed figs and 57.70 times. What is of concern is the extreme outside post, a post he’s run well from before, but never won at. Outside of the #7 horse, the rest of the speed lies to his inside and outside, I’m wondering how much fuel he’ll burn if he’s set on making the front end again. Interestingly, Bejarano has the call tonight perhaps hinting this runner may be asked to settle and float away off the pace this time. My 3rd choice.

#12 ORB, INC.

Never worse than 2nd in 6 career races he’s shown a gritty and tough mindset about him when the hard running begins. One of the speediest runners in the field he’ll likely battle his entrymate to his immediate left in the early going for the lead. He lost to that foe two back while taking the worst of it from a difficult post draw, but did outfinish SHAIRECOOKEDSOMEHASH three races back when he again, broke from a less than ideal post. The rubber match is tonight and I’m wondering if the battle makes them both lose the war. I like this one’s ability to “box” on longer through the lane. My 2nd choice.

Picks: 1, 12, 11